Warren beats Buttigieg; Biden in fourth in new Iowa poll

White House hopeful Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) has an 8-point lead over the rest of the 2020 Democratic primary field in the crucial early caucus state of Iowa, according to a new Civiqs poll released Thursday.

Twenty-eight percent of likely Iowa caucus voters said that Warren is their first choice, followed by 20 percent for South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE, 18 percent for Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) and 12 percent for former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE. 


None of the remaining candidates polled broke double digits.

The poll is the latest in Iowa to show a lead for Warren, who has recently ranked at the top in several other national and early-state surveys.

Warren leads in every voting demographic except independents and voters aged 18-34, who back Sanders by 9- and 6-point margins, respectively.

The poll is also welcome news for Buttigieg, who has worked to cast himself to centrist voters as an alternative to Biden. The Indiana Democrat saw a surge in donations and attention after last week’s debate in which he hammered Warren over her “Medicare for All” platform after she ducked questions about whether she would raise taxes on middle class families. 

Buttigieg also holds a slim 19 percent to 18 percent advantage over Warren among independents.

The Iowa poll comes as other surveys show Biden’s overall lead in the 2020 race has narrowed, as measured in the RealClearPolitics polling index, though he still has strong support in other polls, including a CNN poll released Wednesday that showed him with a double-digit lead in the primary field.

The Civiqs poll surveyed 598 likely Democratic caucus attendees from Oct. 18-22 and has a margin of error of 5 percent.

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